The seminal work on epidemiological models was carried out in the late 1920s and early 1930s. The models have developed substantially since then, but their key drivers are still essentially those discovered nearly a century ago.
This paper argues that testing participation – and not testing capacity – is the biggest obstacle to a successful “test and isolate” strategy, as recently proposed by Paul Romer.
Pandemics are a recurring feature of human history. In the modern world, since the 1770s, we have had a series of pandemics, with a series of cholera ones in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, and a series of five influenza ones since 1890.
The COVID-19 pandemic is a serious challenge for societies around the world. In response to it not only individuals are changing their behaviour, but also governments are taking various policy actions.
Periods of economic crisis are a breeding ground for all sorts of populist ideas, often ideas that had been discarded in the past due to their dire practical implications.
Although the COVID-19 pandemic is by no means over, in Spain we can already start to learn some lessons that will ensure the same mistakes are not made again if we are ever unfortunate enough to face a similar situation in the future.